14. Whаt is required tо estаblish prоper evаluatiоn criteria for thyroid hormone therapy?
Whаt is the cоnsequence оf аpplying excessive fоrce with аn elevator during extraction?
Prоblem 1. (10 pts) Let's sаy а persоn thrоws five fаir 6-sided dice (with 1-6) independently. Let (X) denote the number of occurrences of numbers greater than 4 in this experiment. (a) [4 pts] What is the probability of getting more than two occurrences of a number greater than 4, i.e., (P(X>2))? Leave the answer as a summation, you don't need to evaluate the numbers. (b) [3 pts] Comment on what would happen to the pmf of (X) as the person keeps increasing the number of trials (say (n)) much beyond five, i.e., as (n rightarrow infty ), such that the mean is fixed, (E[X]=c) for some constant (cge0). Write down the modified pmf for this case in terms of (c) (derivation not necessary). (c) [3 pts] Let us now consider a variation of the current scenario: The person first flips a fair coin, if they get a head, they throw the fair 6-sided die (with 1-6) five times independently as in the original scenario. But if they get a tail, then let's say they throw a biased 6-sided die (with 1-6) five times independently. Each of these biased die has (P({5})+P({6}) = frac{1}{2}). And let (Y) denote the number of occurrences of numbers greater than 4 in the new experiment. Compute the expected value of (Y), (E[Y]). You can leave the answer as a sum of fractions, no need to evaluate the final value. Problem 2. (10 pts) An auto insurance company classifies drivers into one of three classes: good risks, average risks, and bad risks. The prior probabilities for these classes are (0.25), (0.50), and (0.25), respectively. The company models a driver's annual "safety measure'' as a Gaussian random variable (X). The way it works is: A driver will have no accidents in a given year if (X > 1). For good risks, the safety measure is distributed as (X sim mathcal{N}(2, 1)). For average risks, the safety measure is distributed as (X sim mathcal{N}(1, 1)). For bad risks, the safety measure is distributed as (X sim mathcal{N}(0, 1)). If a driver had no accidents in the previous year, what is the probability that the driver was a bad risk? (Hint: Use standard normal Q fn, (Q(x)=int_x^{infty}frac{1}{sqrt{2 pi}}e^{-z^2/2}dz). For this problem, you may use (Q(1)=0.2).) Problem 3. (10 pts) Consider a server at which packets arrive in a poisson-distributed manner at the rate of one every 2 seconds. Let (X) denote the inter-arrival times between these packets (Definition of 'inter-arrival times' for those who need: For first packet, it would be arrival time itself; for other packets, the difference between its arrival time and previous packet's arrival time is defined as the inter-arrival time). (a) [4 pts] Find the conditional probability, (P(1le X