SHOW WORK ON SHEET FOR PARTIAL CREDIT Bаsed оn the ESPN FPI, OSU is currently 13 pоints better thаn TTUN, аnd margin оf victory in NCAA football is approximately normally distributed with a standard deviation of 16 points. What is the probability OSU wins in Ann Arbor (award UM a 2 point home field advantage)? Assume that the 'home' team (UM) will have a 60% chance of winning in OT. This is the same as asking the probability OSU outscores TTUN over the period of 60 minutes (the whole game). This makes the numbers a little easier. You don't need to adjust the standard deviation! Report 2 decimals in your final answers (Please only do 2 decimals as this will be picky on computer grading) --> 62% should be entered as .62) P(OSU wins in regulation) = [winreg] P(game goes to OT) = [ot] P(OSU wins in reg OR overtime) = [osu]
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